Alibaba executive Justin Lin tempered expectations regarding China's ability to surpass the United States in the artificial intelligence race. Lin, who leads the company's Qwen open-source model team, spoke at the AGI-Next summit in Beijing.
Lin stated the probability of a Chinese firm leapfrogging US leaders, such as OpenAI, is below 20%. This projection covers the next three to five years.
Lin highlighted a significant resource gap. He noted that the US dedicates massive compute power to next-generation research. Conversely, Chinese companies are stretched thin meeting current delivery demands.
Executives from other Chinese tech giants, including Tencent, reportedly echoed this realistic view. This signals a collective sense of the challenges ahead in global AI competition. No immediate market reaction was available.