Moody's released its Global Macro Outlook, projecting a slight moderation in global GDP growth. The firm anticipates growth to be between 2.5-2.6% for 2026 and 2027, a decrease from the estimated 2.6% in 2025 and 2.9% in 2024. This slowdown is attributed to factors such as policy divergence among nations and ongoing shifts in global trade patterns. The report forecasts that advanced economies will grow around 1.5% annually over the next two years, while emerging markets are expected to expand by approximately 4.0%. Within this, the outlook for the US was revised up to 1.8% for 2026. Meanwhile, India is expected to remain the fastest-growing G-20 economy, with a projected growth of 7% in 2025, moderating to 6.5% in the following years.
Moody's Forecasts Slight Slowdown in Global GDP Growth for 2026-2027
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