UBS analysts downgraded Moderna (MRNA) stock from Buy to Hold. The firm also reduced the price target from $40 to $34.
The downgrade stems from concerns over Moderna's nearly flat revenue outlook. Analysts question the company's ability to achieve profitability or break even by the 2028–2029 timeline.
The COVID-era boom has faded, leading to declining revenue and increasing losses. UBS asserts that Moderna requires a "new blockbuster product" to drive future growth.
The most significant near-term catalyst is the upcoming Phase III data. This data relates to the adjuvant melanoma cancer vaccine, which Moderna developed in partnership with Merck.