Moody’s Ratings revised China’s credit outlook to stable from negative. The agency affirmed the country’s long-term issuer and senior unsecured ratings at A1.
Resilient economic and fiscal strength supported the revision despite domestic pressures and international trade challenges. Policies targeting high-productivity sectors are expected to enhance capital efficiency.
Moody’s projects China's real GDP growth will reach 4.5% in 2026. The agency forecasts real GDP growth of 4.2% in 2027.
China’s competitiveness is expected to cushion a moderation in export growth. Low interest rates and large domestic savings contain downside risks from rising government debt.