Disney’s live-action Moana remake faces a projected domestic opening weekend of $42 million to $46 million. This debut falls significantly short of earlier industry forecasts ranging from $60 million to $80 million.

The film carries a $250 million production budget, creating a challenging path to profitability. Audiences awarded the movie an A- CinemaScore despite the lower-than-expected financial results.

Analysts cite a crowded family market featuring Toy Story 5 as a primary reason for the soft opening. Potential franchise fatigue also impacted the debut, as Moana 2 arrived less than two years ago.